Following a study published in Nature magazine, we want you to read the synthesis below, wherever you are living, it is of greatest interest.
The threat described here is not immediate. It’s not the kind of the-house-is-on-fire warning message. Indeed, it is something to be remembered without cancellation date.
The densely-populated Bay of Bengal looks to be at risk from very large tsunami-producing earthquakes, according to a new analysis of modern and historical observations.Phil Cummins, a seismologist at the national Geoscience Australia agency in Canberra, who publishes the analysis in Nature (Cummins first paragraph for free here), is quick to say that his ideas need confirmation before “policymakers start doing anything”. But with the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami fresh in everyone’s mind, his conclusions are likely to raise the hairs on the back of a few necks. Furthermore, in Cummins paper, one certainty is that “the risk of another giant earthquake is high off central Sumatra, just east of the 2004 earthquake”.
Professor Richard Arculus, from Australian National University (ANU) in Canberra, said :
“Phil Cummins’ warnings should be taken very seriously.
A few months before the devastating earthquake and accompanying tsunami triggered off northern Sumatra in late 2004, Phil Cummins published a perceptive analysis of historic events of this nature in the region. He warned that countries bordering the Indian Ocean, including the northern coast of Australia, were at significant risk, and the lack of a tsunami warning system analogous to that deployed in the Pacific was a serious issue. So his credibility with respect to tsunamigenic earthquakes is established.”
On commenting this article, Kerry Sieh, who helped a lot to understand the tsunami of 2004 (see www.CathaySeas.com/rescue.htm), estimated that “around half-million to one million could be killed” if a tsunami hit the Myanmar – Bangladesh – India area. If we include the radiating and long distance nature of a tsunami wave, Thailand, Maldives, Sri Lanka and countries further south in the Indian Ocean would be at stake, again.
All in all, one million victims is not an overfetched figure.
As a matter of fact, Cathay Seas insists that anyone on the Indian Ocean shorelines and islands should be aware that a mega-quake will happen, and will be followed by a tsunami similar or bigger than the tsunami of december 2004.
Don’t have fear, be prepared.
Sincerely yours,
Yannick.
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Yannick, editor of www.CathaySeas.com
Cathay Seas :
China & South East Asia surfers.
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